Boris Johnson acknowledges to his Government that "much remains to be done" to unlock Brexit

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Boris Johnson has instructed his cabinet to "continue preparing" the ground for a European Union exit without an agreement on October 31, since, despite intense negotiations in Brussels, "there is still a lot of work to do" to unlock the Brexit in time for the crucial European Council on Thursday.

In the previous of the Queen's Speech, the solemn act of opening a new session in Parliament, the British Prime Minister has informed the members of the State Government by telephone of conversations that, in accordance with the community vision , they have only a 50% chance of concluding successfully. Therefore, Johnson is already studying the subsequent strategy with his closest circle and, if he does not find an understanding with the continent, he would be willing to offer a friendly break at the end of the month, to mitigate the impact of an unpaid divorce.

As proof, the legislative forecasts of the coming year to which Isabel II will read tomorrow, until 22, seem to assume that Brexit will take place on the 31st , with measures both to stimulate the economy before an imminent departure, and to organize the arrangements for community immigration that will come into effect from 2021. The goal is to formalize the end of freedom of movement and establish a system of points to reside north of the English Channel, so that Europeans will have to overcome the same standards as foreigners from outside the block.

The problem is that the binary option with which the premier seems to observe the scenarios within his reach contradicts the spirit of the so-called Benn Law, passed in September, before the Parliament made the closing that would later invalidate the Supreme Court. The text obliges the Government to request an extension of the stay if an exit proposal is not approved on October 19, or the authorization to do so without a network.

For now, Johnson has guaranteed that Westminster will sit that day, the first time he has done it on Saturday since the Falklands War (1982), but both his public positions, and the guidelines that his advisors are responsible for selling informally, question that I am even considering an extension. In private, however, the prime minister would have understood that the stability itself in the United Kingdom would depend on an agreement .

According to The Sunday Times , top security officials would have told him that an abrupt departure would dramatically increase the activity of the Republican dissent. As a consequence, the threat of terrorist attacks would skyrocket, not only in Northern Ireland, but in the rest of the country and, additionally, there could be an outbreak of sectarian violence at key points in the country, such as Glasgow, the first city of Scotland in population.

Meanwhile, Brussels awaits events, but the president of the Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, has once again taken for granted, this time in an interview with the Austrian newspaper Kurier , that, if they received a request to delay the divorce, the Twenty-seven would accept. The priority, however, remains focused on finding a meeting point that offers a basis for an agreement, even if detailing it requires a technical delay that the continent already considers inevitable.

The lock, in practice, is merely political and almost exclusively affects Johnson, who has played it all on the break card on October 31, "life or death." Hence, the key to breaking the paralysis is also political: as long as the premier can disassociate himself from any potential delay, everything is possible, especially if he manages to convey the idea that the system has been imposed (who had promoted the process to annul the suspension of Parliament in the Supreme are prepared to act if Johnson ignores the Benn Law).

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

• Boris johnson
• European Union
• United Kingdom
• Jean-Claude Juncker

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